Does Lego investing have a lot of bagholders?

I'm new to investing and recently read a post on Brickpicker saying there will be a lot of bagholders right now. It seems that this is the consensus over in that community. Was hoping to get an expert opinion on this:

It's many of the sets on the shelves last year, and what's on the shelves now, that are going to get porked hard and struggle to hit RRP. You're going to have too many sets on hand, too many hands still in the pot, and people slowly dumping the turds to break even to clear up space or funds. If Lego continues to release upgraded and overall excellent models like they have been, why would the customer pay aftermarket prices?

If the consumer as a whole continues to have to dedicate more to essentials, this trend will continue. Unintentionally, Lego found the best way to squeeze the market. Blast out so many sets that the customer will continue to choose you as their supplier. It won't get significantly better for resellers until Lego starts hurting from having to discount too much, and pulls back on either production or variety. 

Who will be caught holding the bags this time?